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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.8% - 7.8% | 8.3% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 5.2x - 5.7x | 5.5x |
Fair Value | €30.10 - €34.54 | €32.28 |
Upside | 16.8% - 34.0% | 25.3% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Apr-25 | Apr-26 | Apr-27 | Apr-28 | Apr-29 | Apr-30 |
Revenue | 3,975 | 3,848 | 3,921 | 4,054 | 4,224 | 4,410 |
% Growth | -4.9% | -3.2% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% |
EBITDA | 1,246 | 1,186 | 1,224 | 1,283 | 1,267 | 1,330 |
% of Revenue | 31.3% | 30.8% | 31.2% | 31.6% | 30.0% | 30.1% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(USD in millions) | Apr-26 | Apr-27 | Apr-28 | Apr-29 | Apr-30 | |
EBITDA | 1,186 | 1,224 | 1,283 | 1,267 | 1,330 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 138 | 178 | |
D&A | (85) | (76) | (81) | (85) | (88) | |
EBIT | 1,101 | 1,147 | 1,202 | 1,321 | 1,419 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (231) | (241) | (252) | (277) | (298) | |
NOPAT | 916 | 870 | 906 | 949 | 1,044 | 1,121 |
Capital Expenditures | (167) | (129) | (134) | (139) | (149) | (157) |
NWC Investment | 148 | 93 | (53) | (97) | (124) | (136) |
(+) D&A | 87 | 85 | 76 | 81 | 85 | 88 |
Free Cash Flow | 984 | 919 | 796 | 795 | 856 | 916 |
% Growth | -7% | -13% | 0% | 8% | 7% |