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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 8.5% - 7.5% | 8.0% |
Terminal Revenue Multiple | 1.5x - 1.6x | 1.6x |
Fair Value | €9.75 - €11.21 | €10.46 |
Upside | 24.2% - 42.8% | 33.2% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 |
Revenue | 3 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
% Growth | -4.3% | 223.7% | 27.8% | 8.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.0% |
EBITDA | -1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
% of Revenue | -19.9% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 20.3% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% | 15.9% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||||||
Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Dec-32 | Dec-33 | Dec-34 | ||
EBITDA | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | |
EBIT | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (0) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | (1) | |
NOPAT | (0) | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Capital Expenditures | #NUM! | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
NWC Investment | 0 | (4) | (2) | (1) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) |
(+) D&A | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Free Cash Flow | #NUM! | (4) | (1) | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
% Growth | NM | NM | 15% | 2% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 2% |