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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM P/E Multiple | -0.5x - -0.6x | -0.5x |
Selected Fwd P/E Multiple | 8.9x - 9.8x | 9.3x |
Fair Value | €1.45 - €1.60 | €1.53 |
Upside | -4.1% - 5.9% | 0.9% |
Benchmarks | - | Full Ticker |
Seneca Foods Corporation | - | NasdaqGS:SENE.B |
The Simply Good Foods Company | - | NasdaqCM:SMPL |
Lifeway Foods, Inc. | - | NasdaqGM:LWAY |
Post Holdings, Inc. | - | NYSE:POST |
Beyond Meat, Inc. | - | NasdaqGS:BYND |
The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. | - | DB:HF1 |
- | - | - |
Select Price / LTM EPS Ratio | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
SENE.B | SMPL | LWAY | POST | BYND | HF1 | |||
NasdaqGS:SENE.B | NasdaqCM:SMPL | NasdaqGM:LWAY | NYSE:POST | NasdaqGS:BYND | DB:HF1 | |||
Historical Net Income Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | -4.2% | NM- | 81.9% | 24.7% | NM- | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | -3.6% | 50.5% | 39.7% | 57.5% | NM- | NM- | ||
Latest Twelve Months | -17.8% | -1.0% | -22.0% | 4.4% | 51.2% | -187.6% | ||
Historical Net Income Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 4.1% | 8.3% | 4.0% | 5.6% | -59.5% | -1.8% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 4.3% | 10.7% | 7.1% | 4.5% | -98.5% | -6.5% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 2.6% | 10.5% | 4.8% | 4.6% | -49.1% | -4.3% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 2.8% | 10.0% | 5.5% | 4.6% | -52.3% | -16.2% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM EBITDA | 8.1x | 11.6x | 27.0x | 9.0x | -10.6x | 6.8x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.4x | 2.0x | 2.3x | 0.7x | 0.7x | 0.1x | ||
LTM P/E Ratio | 16.2x | 20.2x | 42.5x | 16.0x | -1.4x | -0.6x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark LTM P/E Ratio | -1.4x | 16.2x | 42.5x | |||||
Historical LTM P/E Ratio | -11.8x | 18.5x | 220.1x | |||||
Selected P/E Multiple | -0.5x | -0.5x | -0.6x | |||||
(x) LTM Net Income | (261) | (261) | (261) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 133 | 140 | 147 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 90.3 | 90.3 | 90.3 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 1.47 | 1.55 | 1.62 | |||||
FX Rate: USD/EUR | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 1.26 | 1.33 | 1.40 | 1.51 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -16.6% | -12.2% | -7.8% |
Equity Value | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | SENE.B | SMPL | LWAY | POST | BYND | HF1 | |
Value of Common Equity | 717 | 2,990 | 460 | 5,896 | 216 | 159 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 6.9 | 100.5 | 15.2 | 54.3 | 76.6 | 90.3 | |
Implied Stock Price | 104.50 | 29.74 | 30.19 | 108.54 | 2.82 | 1.76 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 104.50 | 29.74 | 30.19 | 108.54 | 2.82 | 1.51 | |
Trading Currency | USD | USD | USD | USD | USD | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.16 |