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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 9.0% - 8.0% | 8.5% |
Terminal EBITDA Multiple | 1.7x - 3.7x | 2.7x |
Fair Value | €1.60 - €3.09 | €2.33 |
Upside | -62.0% - -26.8% | -44.8% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Input Projections | |||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 |
Revenue | 23 | 28 | 35 | 41 | 37 | 41 |
% Growth | 10.1% | 22.8% | 22.5% | 17.6% | -8.8% | 10.2% |
EBITDA | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
% of Revenue | 2.2% | 8.1% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 12.7% | 13.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | ||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | ||||||
(EUR in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
EBITDA | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (4) | (4) | (4) | (3) | (3) | |
EBIT | (1) | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | |
Pro forma Taxes | 0 | (0) | (0) | (0) | (1) | |
NOPAT | (3) | (1) | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
Capital Expenditures | (2) | (4) | (3) | (3) | (3) | (3) |
NWC Investment | (0) | (0) | (0) | (0) | 0 | (0) |
(+) D&A | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Free Cash Flow | (1) | (2) | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
% Growth | NM | NM | 70% | -25% | 40% |