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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM Revenue Multiple | 1.0x - 1.1x | 1.1x |
Selected Fwd Revenue Multiple | 0.8x - 0.9x | 0.8x |
Fair Value | €4.29 - €4.77 | €4.53 |
Upside | 1.7% - 13.0% | 7.3% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
---|---|---|
International School Augsburg -ISA- gemeinnützige AG | 9JK | DB:9JK |
AB K2 LT | K2LT | NSEL:K2LT |
M2i Société anonyme | ALMII | ENXTPA:ALMII |
Lepermislibre Société anonyme | I5T | DB:I5T |
Alfio Bardolla Training Group S.p.A. | ABTG | BIT:ABTG |
123fahrschule SE | 123F | DUSE:123F |
Select LTM Revenue Multiple | ||||||||
Benchmark Companies | ||||||||
9JK | K2LT | ALMII | I5T | ABTG | 123F | |||
DB:9JK | NSEL:K2LT | ENXTPA:ALMII | DB:I5T | BIT:ABTG | DUSE:123F | |||
Historical Revenue Growth | ||||||||
5Y CAGR | 3.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | NM- | 13.3% | NM- | ||
3Y CAGR | 6.5% | -8.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 17.4% | 43.7% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 8.1% | 1.2% | -4.4% | -22.0% | 17.7% | 10.1% | ||
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | ||||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 0.1% | 42.2% | 3.4% | -20.7% | 6.3% | -38.1% | ||
Prior Fiscal Year | 2.2% | 34.6% | 4.5% | -23.1% | 8.8% | -21.0% | ||
Latest Fiscal Year | 3.0% | 35.4% | 4.8% | -17.7% | 2.7% | -13.9% | ||
Latest Twelve Months | 3.0% | 32.3% | 4.8% | -17.7% | 2.7% | -13.9% | ||
Current Trading Multiples | ||||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.13x | 4.35x | 0.89x | 0.19x | 0.36x | 0.88x | ||
EV / LTM EBIT | 4.4x | 13.5x | 18.6x | -1.0x | 13.3x | -6.3x | ||
Price / LTM Sales | 0.44x | 4.72x | 0.87x | 0.11x | 0.43x | 0.82x | ||
Low | Mid | High | ||||||
Benchmark EV / LTM Revenue | 0.13x | 0.36x | 4.35x | |||||
Historical EV / LTM Revenue | 0.51x | 0.88x | 1.13x | |||||
Selected EV / LTM Revenue | 1.01x | 1.07x | 1.12x | |||||
(x) LTM Revenue | 23 | 23 | 23 | |||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 23 | 25 | 26 | |||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (1) | (1) | (1) | |||||
(=) Equity Value | 22 | 23 | 24 | |||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 5.6 | 5.6 | 5.6 | |||||
Implied Value Range | 3.95 | 4.17 | 4.39 | |||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | ||||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 3.95 | 4.17 | 4.39 | 4.22 | ||||
Upside / (Downside) | -6.4% | -1.2% | 4.0% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | 9JK | K2LT | ALMII | I5T | ABTG | 123F | |
Enterprise Value | 1 | 8 | 50 | 3 | 8 | 25 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | (1) | (0) | (9) | (2) | (0) | (2) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 3 | 9 | 49 | 2 | 10 | 23 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 0.5 | 0.3 | 5.8 | 16.5 | 5.1 | 5.6 | |
Implied Stock Price | 7.00 | 28.40 | 8.45 | 0.10 | 1.92 | 4.22 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 7.00 | 28.40 | 8.45 | 0.10 | 1.92 | 4.22 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |