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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBIT Multiple | 5.5x - 6.1x | 5.8x |
Selected Fwd EBIT Multiple | 4.5x - 4.9x | 4.7x |
Fair Value | €76.21 - €80.55 | €78.38 |
Upside | 16.8% - 23.5% | 20.1% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
DWS Group GmbH & Co. KGaA | DWS | DB:DWS |
BlackRock, Inc. | BLK2 | WBAG:BLK2 |
Ashmore Group Plc | A1B | DB:A1B |
WisdomTree, Inc. | 1WT | DB:1WT |
T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. | TROW | DB:TROW |
Amundi S.A. | AMUN | ENXTPA:AMUN |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBIT Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
DWS | BLK2 | A1B | 1WT | TROW | AMUN | ||
DB:DWS | WBAG:BLK2 | DB:A1B | DB:1WT | DB:TROW | ENXTPA:AMUN | ||
Historical EBIT Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 6.0% | 6.5% | -17.4% | 20.3% | -0.3% | 6.1% | |
3Y CAGR | -2.7% | 0.9% | -26.8% | 15.5% | -14.4% | 1.5% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 20.7% | 15.2% | -23.7% | 28.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | |
Historical EBIT Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 25.5% | 37.0% | 55.1% | 25.9% | 37.6% | 25.8% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 23.0% | 35.5% | 50.8% | 25.1% | 29.1% | 25.3% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 25.3% | 37.6% | 38.5% | 32.1% | 33.1% | 25.8% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 26.5% | 36.4% | 35.6% | 33.0% | 32.0% | 25.1% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 1.21x | 8.19x | 2.30x | 4.82x | 2.38x | 0.90x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 4.6x | 20.6x | 6.4x | 14.6x | 6.1x | 3.5x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 22.5x | 6.5x | 14.6x | 7.4x | 3.6x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBIT | 4.6x | 7.4x | 22.5x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBIT | 5.5x | 6.7x | 9.2x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBIT | 5.5x | 5.8x | 6.1x | ||||
(x) LTM EBIT | 1,714 | 1,714 | 1,714 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 9,443 | 9,940 | 10,437 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | 7,131 | 7,131 | 7,131 | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 16,574 | 17,071 | 17,568 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 203.8 | 203.8 | 203.8 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 81.33 | 83.77 | 86.21 | ||||
FX Rate: EUR/EUR | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 81.33 | 83.77 | 86.21 | 65.25 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | 24.6% | 28.4% | 32.1% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | DWS | BLK2 | A1B | 1WT | TROW | AMUN | |
Enterprise Value | 5,335 | 178,858 | 389 | 2,142 | 17,130 | 6,166 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 3,145 | 9,767 | 696 | 291 | 3,059 | 23,850 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 2,745 | 6,484 | 62 | 14 | 5,349 | 3,651 | |
(-) Debt | (184) | (14,710) | (6) | (515) | (522) | (20,324) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (21) | (2,461) | (9) | 0 | (1,252) | (46) | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 11,020 | 177,938 | 1,132 | 1,932 | 23,763 | 13,298 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 200.0 | 154.9 | 655.8 | 143.2 | 219.7 | 203.8 | |
Implied Stock Price | 55.10 | 1,149.08 | 1.73 | 13.50 | 108.16 | 65.25 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 55.10 | 982.00 | 2.00 | 11.54 | 92.43 | 65.25 | |
Trading Currency | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | EUR | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.17 | 0.86 | 1.17 | 1.17 | 1.00 |