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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Selected LTM EBITDA Multiple | 9.6x - 10.7x | 10.2x |
Selected Fwd EBITDA Multiple | 4.7x - 5.2x | 5.0x |
Fair Value | kr87.99 - kr109.71 | kr98.85 |
Upside | 0.6% - 25.4% | 13.0% |
Benchmarks | Ticker | Full Ticker |
Cedergrenska AB (publ) | CEDER | OM:CEDER |
HomeMaid AB (publ) | HOME B | XSAT:HOMEB |
Tellusgruppen AB (publ) | TELLUS | OM:TELLUS |
eEducation Albert AB (publ) | ALBERT | OM:ALBERT |
Trainimal AB (publ) | TRML | NGM:TRML |
AcadeMedia AB (publ) | ACAD | OM:ACAD |
- | - | - |
Select LTM EBITDA Multiple | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
CEDER | HOME B | TELLUS | ALBERT | TRML | ACAD | ||
OM:CEDER | XSAT:HOMEB | OM:TELLUS | OM:ALBERT | NGM:TRML | OM:ACAD | ||
Historical EBITDA Growth | |||||||
5Y CAGR | 12.5% | 28.1% | 20.4% | NM- | NM- | 14.9% | |
3Y CAGR | 4.4% | 9.7% | 82.4% | NM- | NM- | 9.6% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 67.2% | 68.5% | 423.7% | 13.8% | 81.2% | 19.2% | |
Historical EBITDA Profit Margin | |||||||
5 Year Average Margin | 8.1% | 8.3% | 3.0% | -59.9% | -9.2% | 10.4% | |
Prior Fiscal Year | 5.8% | 5.9% | 3.3% | -42.7% | 6.6% | 10.4% | |
Latest Fiscal Year | 7.9% | 8.2% | 3.0% | -46.0% | 13.0% | 10.7% | |
Latest Twelve Months | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.0% | -43.0% | 13.0% | 11.0% | |
Current Trading Multiples | |||||||
EV / LTM Revenue | 0.47x | 1.42x | 0.16x | 0.15x | 0.21x | 1.09x | |
EV / LTM EBITDA | 5.5x | 16.0x | 2.6x | -0.4x | 1.6x | 9.8x | |
EV / LTM EBIT | 14.9x | 18.1x | 38.6x | -0.3x | -10.2x | 11.8x | |
Low | Mid | High | |||||
Benchmark EV / LTM EBITDA | -0.4x | 2.6x | 16.0x | ||||
Historical EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.7x | 10.4x | 14.0x | ||||
Selected EV / LTM EBITDA | 9.6x | 10.2x | 10.7x | ||||
(x) LTM EBITDA | 2,071 | 2,071 | 2,071 | ||||
(=) Implied Enterprise Value | 19,975 | 21,026 | 22,078 | ||||
(-) Non-shareholder Claims * | (11,714) | (11,714) | (11,714) | ||||
(=) Equity Value | 8,261 | 9,312 | 10,364 | ||||
(/) Shares Outstanding | 99.0 | 99.0 | 99.0 | ||||
Implied Value Range | 83.43 | 94.05 | 104.67 | ||||
FX Rate: SEK/SEK | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | Market Price | |||
Implied Value Range (Trading Cur) | 83.43 | 94.05 | 104.67 | 87.50 | |||
Upside / (Downside) | -4.6% | 7.5% | 19.6% |
Equity Waterfall | |||||||
Benchmark Companies | |||||||
(in millions) | CEDER | HOME B | TELLUS | ALBERT | TRML | ACAD | |
Enterprise Value | 493 | 730 | 74 | 28 | 3 | 20,378 | |
(+) Cash & Short Term Investments | 42 | 35 | 20 | 55 | 1 | 1,001 | |
(+) Investments & Other | 0 | 0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Debt | 0 | (71) | (19) | (8) | 0 | (12,715) | |
(-) Other Liabilities | (1) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Preferred Stock | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
(-) Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Value of Common Equity | 534 | 694 | 87 | 75 | 4 | 8,664 | |
(/) Shares Outstanding | 14.0 | 19.0 | 17.8 | 25.1 | 2.3 | 99.0 | |
Implied Stock Price | 38.00 | 36.60 | 4.92 | 3.00 | 1.55 | 87.50 | |
FX Conversion Rate to Trading Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | |
Implied Stock Price (Trading Cur) | 38.00 | 36.60 | 4.92 | 3.00 | 1.55 | 87.50 | |
Trading Currency | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | SEK | |
FX Rate to Reporting Currency | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 |